What economic and market characteristics are different today that prior pre-downturn periods?
Our evaluation of key downturns over the last 30-year point to 3 key differences between today’s macro backdrop and the most recent period.
What is the most likely source and impact of the next downturn on asset prices?Â
As a backdrop to our portfolio derisking recommendations, we evaluate the macro background, asset return sensitivities and market responses during economic downturns over the last 30 years.
Battening Down The Hatches Part Two
View PDF version Battening Down The Hatches Part Two Part 2: How Should Investors Derisk?In Part 1 of this series, we posited that the next recession could take two possible forms:A traditional cyclical downturn as decelerating industrial production infects the...
Will Rising Populism = Stagflation?
#derisking #asset allocation #equities #bonds #geopolitical #negative yields #yield curve # stagflation # inflation # stock and bond correlation # populism #income inequality #Brexit #Donald Trump Populism is on the rise and it has historically led to increased...
Stagflation: A Lower Probability, but More Worrisome, Recession Scenario
Read our blog post here: #derisking #asset allocation #equities #bonds #geopolitical #negative yields #yield curve # stagflation # inflation # stock and bond correlation # populism Stagflation would most likely be prompted by a negative supply shock caused by either...