U.S. Fixed Income: Q4 2022 Update
For each of the first three quarters of 2022, we spent the opening paragraph of this piece finding new and interesting ways to describe just how bad fixed income performance was, across all sectors and tenors. Yet despite capping one of the worst years for fixed income historically, 4Q22 managed to provide positive total and excess returns.
The Rise of Machines in ESG Investing
This post explores the reasons behind the growing popularity of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML), the opportunities that are available in using these techniques for ESG investing and the challenges encountered in using them.
The Power of Quality Investing
While it is intuitively easy to understand that quality companies outperform in the long run, factors that fall in the Quality category often get less attention than the more popular Value and Growth factors. As we head into a slowing economy and possibly a recession amidst an inflationary environment, quality factors once again deserve the attention of investors.
U.S. Fixed Income: Q3 2022 Update
Three quarters of 2022 are in the books, and it is certainly three quarters fixed income investors would all like to forget. As has become our custom, we present a Market Scorecard to document what has occurred across fixed income markets. The numbers are breathtakingly bad and putting them (once again) in a historical context, the bond vigilantes have delivered on the worst three quarter stretch (for some sectors) ever. The broad corporate market, for example, has seen its worst three quarters in succession since inception of modern corporate indices. The same can be said for the broad US Treasury market. At this point, however, we are beginning to see the light at the end of the tunnel.
The Dismal Science of Forecasts & What Our Boutique Managers Are Saying About the Current Macro Environment
Geopolitical uncertainty, war, and commodity price shocks have been the headline talking points for the industry in 2022. These certainly contributed to the current stagflationary pressures in the market, however, …
The Times They Are A-Changin’: Q4 2022 Market Outlook
As I write this research note, (October 13, 2022) annual core inflation has hit a 40-year high at 6.6% from a year ago (8.2% for overall inflation), guaranteeing another punishing rate hike by the FOMC. Market commentators are prognosticating about …