The dynamics that warrant reduction in equity risk exposures include:
- Late cycle dynamics leading to marked global growth slowdown
- Bearish signals from the bond market
- More constrained reflationary policies from China that will be a less potent for jump-starting global growth than in 2008 and 2015
- Heightened geopolitical uncertainty; with the Sino-U.S. strategic rivalry being the most market relevant
- The fear of diminishing returns to traditional growth inducing monetary policy tools
- Less global policy coordination to combat global crises
- Declining global liquidity in the first half of 2019
You can read our 2019 analysis of institutional investor derisking trends, Battening Down the Hatches, Part 1 here: FIS Research: Battening-Down-the-Hatches-Part-1.pdf